"Informed sources revealed today, on Thursday, said a meeting of the National Alliance will be held this evening, in order to reach a final agreement on the choice of the next prime minister and other electoral benefits."
It looks official the decree was put forth by the Vice President of Iraq today and the first Parliament Session will by next Tuesday July 1, 2014...
...none of us can confidently say what is happening, since the media stories conflict with themselves in many cases.
However, we may have an inkling of knowing where this is heading. Maliki has promised to attend, stated he would step aside if a candidate who could defeat terrorism is named, and has promised Kerry that a new government would be formed on or before July 1 (he clearly can’t keep this promise).
At the same time his National Alliance has clearly indicated that it will not accept Maliki for a third term, and that it wants to nominate Mahdi for the position of Prime Minister. Najafi has stated that he would accept this nomination. The National Alliance was also confident that their “new” nominee would be widely accepted.
The Kurds are adamantly against Maliki but are desirous of participating in making a new government. I suspect that they will want the Presidency again, as they have had it for 8 years. Therefore, I conclude, surprisingly enough, that Maliki may actually be replaced and that a new government will be created with Mahdi as the Prime Minister and Barzani as President. I realize that this runs totally counter to what I have learned about Maliki. Therefore, I hold this caveat: Maliki may stand firm, even against what is apparently a strong attempt to remove him from within his own National Alliance.
If he steps down, we could see some significant changes in Iraq, to our benefit. On the other hand, if he balks, which the media reports indicate is still a possibility, then there could be a stalemate created that could last for months.
I would love to see Mahdi take over, if for no other reason than to see Maliki go away. But there is a part of me that says that Maliki won’t go away, no matter what. The next few days will prove to be interesting, to say the least.
Since I have covered both possibilities here, it is unlikely that I will be wrong. One or the other will win out. I suspect we will know which within 2 weeks.
PM Nuri Maliki turned down the emergency government and will be going with the Unity government just like he told Secretary of State John Kerry. The Iraqi Parliament will convene on Tuesday, 1 July.
The Iraqi Parliament has 30 days to name a new Iraq President and then the President has 15 days to name a new Prime Minister.
This will go into August before this is all said and done.
Today i had a intellectual exchange with my friend over in the sandbox and thought i'd share some info: Maliki emphatically states today that he will "follow the democratic process" and form a government. he "claims' his party has majority and will not heed the advice of the Obama doctrine: "be inclusive and play nicely with all the kids".
Maliki now seems to think of himself as "the Commander in chief" of all shiite's. The only way Maliki will go is if his own party topples him or he loses support from Iran.
I asked my friend for clarification of recent comments by Turki and the CBI. He indicates that much seems to be lost in translation and that the Governor was simply trying to assure "existing business interests and nations" of the CBI's continued efforts to keep monetary policy as stable as possible under the political pressures.
Much concern raised by these "existing business partners" was ISIS looting more money, funds, etc. Turki was trying to assure people of Iraq's vast wealth "held outside Iraq".