I come to you today to give you a recent update on the election process and how this relates towards the international rollout of the IQD for Iraq. The news was very good once again.
This is a time of great anticipation and expectation for our exchange. This last couple weeks has been a wild ride and the election process is finally coming to an end thus our window for the RV.
Note: If you have not read my previous news letter from Fri 8/1, I encourage you to first read it. Today's news letter, as in all my news letters, is a continuation of the ongoing saga of the IQD RV process.
This week the stalling continued and the battle raged on for selection of the candidate for the prime minister position. The stalling comes mainly as the differences that are still ongoing within the State of Law coalition. They still cling to Nouri al-Maliki as their prime minister nominee. The other blocks within the National coalition, the Liberal coalition and the Citizens coalition all refuse this nomination too, as well as the other blocks.
Meanwhile the National Alliance is trying to push forward and has come out with a list of 5 nominees this week from the participating coalitions. This will probably be the list submitted to the president in the selection of the one candidate and thus he will then submit him to parliament for the final vote. Being that they still refuse to list Maliki as the State of Law candidate this can cause more accused sectarianism. So how are they going to resolve this? This has been the issue all along. I will tell you.
It is now Sunday 8/3 and just yesterday we were told from Iraq that the MP of the Ahrar bloc, of the Sadrist movement, Mithaq Al-Mozani said, "the National Alliance will name, on next Monday 8/4 (this may even happen today Sunday 8/3), it’s one candidate for the next prime minister among its five candidates." Remember they (meaning the National Alliance) have the majority and they get to control the process of putting together this new government.
So once again here are the names of the five candidates revealed to us last week:
1) from the largest bloc in parliament (180 seats out of 328) the National Alliance are:
Adel Abdul Mahdi
2) from for the State of Law coalition:
3) from the Mass Reform bloc
I believe the most likely to win due to his support from all the parties outside the National Coalition is Al Jaafari. We wait and see how it turns out. Note Maliki’s name was not presented as a candidate.
So has there been a compromise? Have they come to a consensus between the blocs ahead of time of Monday or is the new president of Iraq going to have to execute his executive powers according to the constitution, pick a candidate, forward his name to parliament and let the voting process in parliament determine the adequacy of the candidate? If parliament gets deadlocked on the vote we are in trouble and this could take all week to resolve.
This is one way to resolve this ongoing sage. The other is for Maliki himself to force the State of Law to take his name off the list and submit another candidate. He has already backed down publicly. So what then is the issue? Why is the State of Law so insistent then?
The issue is Maliki will not make the effort to work with the State of Law coalition to strongly convince them to also back down. They are insistence on his nomination for prime minister. Meanwhile Maliki can claim he had no part of it since they really want him and what can he do? This too is part of the problem. As usual Maliki makes himself invisible or innocent to the problem yet does nothing to help resolve it.
Of course the new president Masoum would much rather forward a candidate who is accepted by all the coalitions thus by consensus. But the reality is it may now not happen in this manner since time is running out to meet the constitutional deadline of the 15 day mandate to seat the prime minister. This mandate is over on Friday 8/8. To overt this deadlock the new president will probably have to step in and make the decision to go ahead with a candidate that is best suited and agreed to by the “majority” party. He is now attempting to make everyone happy but this may not be the case in the long run. He is taking the time left to try to make it work in a non-sectarian way.
So this is where we are. The new president Masoum must submit a candidate to the parliament on Monday 8/4 and announce his name to the world. The next session of parliament will conduct a vote on Tuesday 8/5 and seat the new prime minister and the other positions. Nori Al-Maliki will not be the candidate put forward for prime minister.
There is also a deputy prime minister and vice president to be named and announced. So who will be these candidates? Right now it is still up for grabs. Some are saying it is a mystery candidate. How ridiculous! Once again just hype. It will most probably be ones selected from the list of the 5 nominees given to us this last week. The National Alliance now has said it has no objections to Maliki for the vice presidential position as long as he is taken off the nominee list for prime minister. This may be a compromise on their part. This could work to convince the State of Law to back down. Maliki now has to step in and support this compromise. Will he? We will see later today or on Monday.
I know we have been waiting now for a very long time to hear who this candidate is. Many intel providers have been telling us over and over again they had selected the candidate already. Really? Please tell me who it is. Why leave in suspension….lol…They told us this 3 weeks ago. So why all this ongoing saga then?
If this was true then why did we have to go through this saga we have been seeing over the last couple of weeks. Please don’t tell me one more time that they are trying to confuse us. This is ridiculous. Most of you confuse yourselves by listening to this nonsense. This seems to be the excuse anytime info is misinterpreted or knowingly falsely stated.
It was obvious in the past the speaker Jubouri has given the process 3 weeks to deal with the effort of selecting first the nominees from each bloc and then to narrow it down to only one final candidate. On Monday we should finally see that candidate. So what is the confusion? Just follow the process and stop the guessing and hype.
My point now is this was a lengthy process, it took time and article after article was sent to the news media explaining the process. So I have to ask you now - How could this be that they had a prime minister for three weeks already? How could it be that they are going to RV every day or anyday? I am not bashing anyone but you have to ask yourself these questions since many of you are so bent on listening to these sources of news.
I have received many, many emails on this and some have now outright bashed my news. So I need now to clarify. If my news is so bad 1) why do you read it 2) and if their news is so good then where is the RV? 3)Why have we not seen it already? 4) Why are we not yet at the bank?
I have repeated told everyone they will not RV until they have selected and seated the government fully and is it a relatively stable and a working government. They must also announce the new government publicly. That is the criteria.
So today’s news is all very good news once again but for Iraq they are at that junction when the time to negotiate has almost but expired. They must now decide who this new prime minister will be. They can no longer hold up their economy and the world. They are the base currency for the GCR and so much is riding on getting this rite.
The question now is - Will the new president execute his constitutional powers and submit a candidate or will they let this deadlock continue and drag on until the last hours of midnight up to the deadline (Friday) to seat the prime minister?
I am hopeful and now hearing they will not drag this on and the president will announce the final candidate tomorrow, Monday 8/4, and will formally submit the names of the prime minister, deputy prime minister and vice president to the parliament on time and in preparation for a vote in Tuesday’s 8/5 session.
At this time he will also execute another one of his duties and that is to finally announce the majority bloc that has the responsibility for forming this next government. This is something that was neglected in the session when he was seated.
According to the constitution naming the majority party is one of the first, if not the first, presidential duty he should have executed when seated weeks ago. By not doing so has allowed the ongoing debate and saga as to who was the majority bloc to continue and come to a boil. Finally it forced a decision from the judiciary on this topic but only after Maliki played out his shenanigans in falsely stating a decision had been already rendered in that the State of Law was the majority. Was this done intentionally to force the National Alliance to get them selves moving on this? Now this is all settled and will be formally announced in the upcoming session on Tuesday.
All this run around and nonsense takes time and so we are witnessing first hand why we have to wait so long for the elecion process to unfold. If in fact their constitution is so important then why don’t they just adhere to it? This would resolve many of the conflicts. It is because they are not used to running a government under a democracy and it takes time to fine tune the process and learn it. This is why they have diplomats and consultants helping them. This is why they have so many delays and problems.
I want to emphasize once again this final announcement of the IQD going international will not happen until the USA feels the Iraq government is stable, non-sectarian and is a functional government. This is has been the plan all along. They may have wavered a bit on how the plan was implemented but the overall plan guidelines have not changed.
Peace and Luv To Ya All,